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Case 03 · Methodological extension

Evidence travels from Taiwan to Japan

A proof-of-concept study compares observed estimates in Taiwan NHIRD and Japan DeSC with estimates transported by a model developed in Taiwan.

Design
Retrospective target-trial emulation
Settings
Taiwan and Japan
Comparisons
Three antiplatelet trials

Study aim

A feasibility test for cross-country evidence transport

To evaluate the feasibility of transporting evidence across countries through a proof-of-concept study built on prior IMPRESIVE research, with the goal of informing healthcare decision-making.

Method

Cohort studies using a target-trial emulation framework

Hospitalized patients with acute coronary syndrome are studied separately in each database. The three head-to-head comparisons are prasugrel versus clopidogrel, ticagrelor versus clopidogrel, and ticagrelor versus prasugrel. Permitted aggregate results are then synthesized for cross-database interpretation.

Taiwan flag
Taiwan

NHIRD

Population-based national claims environment used to develop the source model and estimate observed treatment effects.

Japan flag
Japan

DeSC

Population-based claims environment used to estimate the observed target-setting effect and evaluate the transported estimate.

Database coverage and subject-enrolment periods
DatabaseDatabase startDatabase endEnrolment startEnrolment end
Taiwan NHIRD2013-01-012022-12-312014-01-012021-12-31
Japan DeSC2016-01-012023-08-312017-01-012022-08-31

Target-trial emulation

Target-trial specification modified from TRITON–TIMI 38, PLATO, and ISAR-REACT 5
ComponentTarget trialNHIRD and DeSC emulation
EligibilityAge ≥18; hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome, including STEMI, NSTEMI, or unstable angina. Exclude contraindications or prior use of ticagrelor, prasugrel, or clopidogrel.Same criteria; receipt of a study drug is treated as evidence that the clinical contraindication decision had been made.
Treatment strategiesInitiate prasugrel versus clopidogrel; ticagrelor versus clopidogrel; or ticagrelor versus prasugrel.Same three head-to-head strategies.
AssignmentEligible participants are randomly assigned with the same treatment-assignment probability within each comparison.Propensity-score inverse-probability weighting is used to balance measured characteristics and approximate comparable treatment-assignment probabilities.
OutcomesMACE; cardiovascular death; stroke; myocardial infarction; all-cause mortality; ACS recurrence; and bleeding events.Same outcomes, using approved local definitions and code lists.
Follow-upFrom treatment assignment until outcome, death, or end of study period, whichever occurs first.Same follow-up rule.

Transported estimates from NHIRD to DeSC

Switch treatment comparisons to inspect Taiwan estimates, Japan estimates, and estimates transported from the Taiwan model.

Taiwan → Japan

Observed and transported relative-risk estimates

Download figure data

Interpretation boundaries

Differences are the result to explain, not an error to hide

Absolute-risk heterogeneity

Baseline risk can differ substantially across healthcare contexts. Coding intensity, patient selection, and utilization patterns must be examined before transporting absolute estimates.

Relative-effect inconsistency

A relative measure is not automatically transportable. Directional differences may indicate that measured or unmeasured effect modifiers are distributed differently.

Effect-modifier discrepancies

Comorbidities can have different interaction patterns, and rare outcomes can produce wide uncertainty. Calibration must be evaluated outcome by outcome.

Return to the expanding case portfolio

Compare this methodological extension with the established ASCVD and AD/PN cases.

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